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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Curacao vs Panama 100,000 times. Panama won 45,508 of them (45.5%), the draw came up 29.3% of the time and Curacao won 25.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.8%, while the likeliest Panama win is 0-1 (10.5%). Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations.
| Curacao win | 25.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.3% |
| Panama win | 45.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.04 – 1.47 |
| Both teams to score | 50.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% |
| Curacao score first | 35.9% |
| Panama score first | 53.8% |
| Curacao clean sheet | 23.4% |
| Panama clean sheet | 35.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733380 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Panama are favourites. They win 45.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.3% for the draw and 25.2% for Curacao. Including the draw, Panama avoid defeat 74.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.8% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.5%) and 0-0 (10%). The likeliest Panama win is 0-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations. Curacao keep a clean sheet 23.4% of the time and Panama 35.8%.
The simulations average 2.51 goals: 1.04 for Curacao and 1.47 for Panama. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.7% and over 3.5 goals 24.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.