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  1. Simulations
  2. Danubio vs Liverpool
Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Danubio vs Liverpool prediction

We simulated Danubio vs Liverpool 100,000 times. Liverpool won 44,755 of them (44.8%), the draw came up 28.9% of the time and Danubio won 26.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Liverpool win is 0-1 (12.1%). Both teams score in 47.2% of simulations.

Danubio badge
Danubio Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Sunday 15 November
Liverpool badge
Liverpool Away
26.4% 26,363 wins
28.9% Draw
44.8% 44,755 wins
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.37
Likeliest score
1-1 13.4% Top Liverpool win: 0-1 12.1%
Both score
47.2%
Over 2.5
41.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Alberto Javier Feres Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo

Danubio vs Liverpool in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Sunday 15 November, 19:30

Danubio vs Liverpool simulation probabilities
Danubio win26.4%
Draw28.9%
Liverpool win44.8%
Most likely score1-1 (13.4%)
Expected goals0.99 – 1.37
Both teams to score47.2%
Over 1.5 goals68.8%
Over 2.5 goals41.9%
Over 3.5 goals21.4%
Danubio score first41.1%
Liverpool score first48.7%
Danubio clean sheet25.8%
Liverpool clean sheet37.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420744082
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Danubio vs Liverpool prediction FAQs

Who will win Danubio vs Liverpool?

Liverpool are favourites. They win 44.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.9% for the draw and 26.4% for Danubio. Including the draw, Liverpool avoid defeat 73.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Danubio vs Liverpool?

1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (12.1%) and 0-0 (10.5%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 0-1 (12.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Danubio vs Liverpool?

Both teams score in 47.2% of simulations. Danubio keep a clean sheet 25.8% of the time and Liverpool 37.5%.

How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Liverpool?

The simulations average 2.36 goals: 0.99 for Danubio and 1.37 for Liverpool. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.9% and over 3.5 goals 21.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.