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We simulated Denmark U21 vs Netherlands U21 100,000 times. Netherlands U21 won 40,730 of them (40.7%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Denmark U21 won 32.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Netherlands U21 win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 56.2% of simulations.
| Denmark U21 win | 32.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Netherlands U21 win | 40.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.3% |
| Denmark U21 score first | 42.7% |
| Netherlands U21 score first | 50.1% |
| Denmark U21 clean sheet | 23.2% |
| Netherlands U21 clean sheet | 27.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733342 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Netherlands U21 are favourites. They win 40.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 32.7% for Denmark U21. Including the draw, Netherlands U21 avoid defeat 67.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Netherlands U21 win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.2% of simulations. Denmark U21 keep a clean sheet 23.2% of the time and Netherlands U21 27.7%.
The simulations average 2.77 goals: 1.30 for Denmark U21 and 1.48 for Netherlands U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.3% and over 3.5 goals 30.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.