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We simulated Eldense vs Sabadell 100,000 times. Eldense won 42,093 of them (42.1%), the draw came up 30.7% of the time and Sabadell won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.1%, while the likeliest Eldense win is 1-0 (12.2%). Both teams score in 45.7% of simulations.
| Eldense win | 42.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.7% |
| Sabadell win | 27.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 45.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.3% |
| Eldense score first | 48.5% |
| Sabadell score first | 39.8% |
| Eldense clean sheet | 38% |
| Sabadell clean sheet | 28.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420642955 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Eldense are favourites. They win 42.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.7% for the draw and 27.3% for Sabadell. Including the draw, Eldense avoid defeat 72.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-0 (11.9%). The likeliest Eldense win is 1-0 (12.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.7% of simulations. Eldense keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Sabadell 28.2%.
The simulations average 2.25 goals: 1.28 for Eldense and 0.98 for Sabadell. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.1% and over 3.5 goals 19.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.