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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe prediction

We simulated Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe 100,000 times. Equatorial Guinea won 36,247 of them (36.3%), the draw came up 32.4% of the time and Zimbabwe won 31.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.8%, while the likeliest Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 (11.3%). Both teams score in 45% of simulations.

Equatorial Guinea badge
Equatorial Guinea Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
0–0 Full time
Zimbabwe badge
Zimbabwe Away
36.3% 36,247 wins
32.4% Draw
31.3% 31,310 wins
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.04
Likeliest score
1-1 14.8% Top Equatorial win: 1-0 11.3%
Both score
45%
Over 2.5
37%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 32.4% and gave this exact score 13.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Ahmed Arajiga Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo, Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Thursday 12 November, 16:00

Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe simulation probabilities
Equatorial Guinea win36.3%
Draw32.4%
Zimbabwe win31.3%
Most likely score1-1 (14.8%)
Expected goals1.14 – 1.04
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals65.2%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals17.7%
Equatorial Guinea score first50.1%
Zimbabwe score first36.8%
Equatorial Guinea clean sheet35.8%
Zimbabwe clean sheet32.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420728707
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe prediction FAQs

Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?

Equatorial Guinea are favourites. They win 36.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.4% for the draw and 31.3% for Zimbabwe. Including the draw, Equatorial Guinea avoid defeat 68.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?

1-1, which came up in 14.8% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.2%) and 1-0 (11.3%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 (11.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?

Both teams score in 45% of simulations. Equatorial Guinea keep a clean sheet 35.8% of the time and Zimbabwe 32.5%.

How many goals will there be in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?

The simulations average 2.17 goals: 1.14 for Equatorial Guinea and 1.04 for Zimbabwe. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 37% and over 3.5 goals 17.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.