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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Excelsior vs FC Twente 100,000 times. FC Twente won 64,917 of them (64.9%), the draw came up 19.8% of the time and Excelsior won 15.3%. The most likely score is 0-2 (9.6%), and both teams score in 57.1% of simulations.
| Excelsior win | 15.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.8% |
| FC Twente win | 64.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 2.27 |
| Both teams to score | 57.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.5% |
| Excelsior score first | 31.6% |
| FC Twente score first | 64.1% |
| Excelsior clean sheet | 10.7% |
| FC Twente clean sheet | 36.6% |
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
3.0–0.8
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
1.8–1.6
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PSV
Willem II
3.9–0.9
xG
85%
Over 2.5
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2.2–1.4
xG
69%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
1.7–1.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Telstar
FC Utrecht
1.5–1.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609861 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Twente are favourites. They win 64.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.8% for the draw and 15.3% for Excelsior. Including the draw, FC Twente avoid defeat 84.7% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 1-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations. Excelsior keep a clean sheet 10.7% of the time and FC Twente 36.6%.
The simulations average 3.28 goals: 1.01 for Excelsior and 2.27 for FC Twente. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.4% and over 3.5 goals 41.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.