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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated PSV vs Willem II 100,000 times. PSV won 88,160 of them (88.2%), the draw came up 7.3% of the time and Willem II won 4.6%. The most likely score is 3-0 (8.3%), and both teams score in 56.7% of simulations.
| PSV win | 88.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.3% |
| Willem II win | 4.6% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (8.3%) |
| Expected goals | 3.91 – 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 56.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 69.6% |
| PSV score first | 79.2% |
| Willem II score first | 20.1% |
| PSV clean sheet | 41.8% |
| Willem II clean sheet | 2.3% |
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
3.0–0.8
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
1.8–1.6
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2.2–1.4
xG
69%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
1.7–1.9
xG
68%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Telstar
FC Utrecht
1.5–1.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Twente
1.0–2.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609698 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
PSV are favourites. They win 88.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.3% for the draw and 4.6% for Willem II. Including the draw, PSV avoid defeat 95.5% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 8.3% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (8%) and 3-1 (7.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.7% of simulations. PSV keep a clean sheet 41.8% of the time and Willem II 2.3%.
The simulations average 4.78 goals: 3.91 for PSV and 0.88 for Willem II. Over 1.5 goals lands 94.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 84.9% and over 3.5 goals 69.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.