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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles 100,000 times. Go Ahead Eagles won 41,931 of them (41.9%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and SC Cambuur won 34.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations.
| SC Cambuur win | 34.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 41.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.84 |
| Both teams to score | 68.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.2% |
| SC Cambuur score first | 45.4% |
| Go Ahead Eagles score first | 50.4% |
| SC Cambuur clean sheet | 16.3% |
| Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet | 19.5% |
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
3.0–0.8
xG
73%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
1.8–1.6
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PSV
Willem II
3.9–0.9
xG
85%
Over 2.5
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2.2–1.4
xG
69%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Telstar
FC Utrecht
1.5–1.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Twente
1.0–2.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609862 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Go Ahead Eagles are favourites. They win 41.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 34.4% for SC Cambuur. Including the draw, Go Ahead Eagles avoid defeat 65.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations. SC Cambuur keep a clean sheet 16.3% of the time and Go Ahead Eagles 19.5%.
The simulations average 3.50 goals: 1.66 for SC Cambuur and 1.84 for Go Ahead Eagles. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.5% and over 3.5 goals 46.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.