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Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction

We simulated PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag 100,000 times. PEC Zwolle won 37,440 of them (37.4%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and ADO Den Haag won 36.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest PEC Zwolle win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations.

PEC Zwolle badge
PEC Zwolle MAC³PARK Stadion
Sunday 1 November
ADO Den Haag badge
ADO Den Haag Away
37.4% 37,440 wins
25.7% Draw
36.8% 36,832 wins
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.54
Likeliest score
1-1 11.7% Top PEC Zwolle win: 2-1 8.3%
Both score
62.2%
Over 2.5
59.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jeroen Manschot MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag lineups, team news & head to head

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 1 November, 11:15

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag simulation probabilities
PEC Zwolle win37.4%
Draw25.7%
ADO Den Haag win36.8%
Most likely score1-1 (11.7%)
Expected goals1.55 – 1.54
Both teams to score62.2%
Over 1.5 goals81.9%
Over 2.5 goals59.3%
Over 3.5 goals37.1%
PEC Zwolle score first48%
ADO Den Haag score first46.7%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet21.9%
ADO Den Haag clean sheet21.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420609708
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction FAQs

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

PEC Zwolle are favourites. They win 37.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 36.8% for ADO Den Haag. Including the draw, PEC Zwolle avoid defeat 63.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations. PEC Zwolle keep a clean sheet 21.9% of the time and ADO Den Haag 21.6%.

How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

The simulations average 3.08 goals: 1.55 for PEC Zwolle and 1.54 for ADO Den Haag. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.3% and over 3.5 goals 37.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.