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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Telstar vs FC Utrecht 100,000 times. FC Utrecht won 42,915 of them (42.9%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Telstar won 31.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest FC Utrecht win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 65.2% of simulations.
| Telstar win | 31.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| FC Utrecht win | 42.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 65.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.5% |
| Telstar score first | 45.6% |
| FC Utrecht score first | 49.3% |
| Telstar clean sheet | 17.4% |
| FC Utrecht clean sheet | 22.6% |
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
3.0–0.8
xG
73%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
1.8–1.6
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PSV
Willem II
3.9–0.9
xG
85%
Over 2.5
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2.2–1.4
xG
69%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
1.7–1.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Twente
1.0–2.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609691 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Utrecht are favourites. They win 42.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 31.9% for Telstar. Including the draw, FC Utrecht avoid defeat 68.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.2% of simulations. Telstar keep a clean sheet 17.4% of the time and FC Utrecht 22.6%.
The simulations average 3.28 goals: 1.51 for Telstar and 1.77 for FC Utrecht. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.4% and over 3.5 goals 41.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.