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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam 100,000 times. FC Groningen won 50,441 of them (50.4%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Sparta Rotterdam won 26.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest FC Groningen win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 66.4% of simulations.
| FC Groningen win | 50.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Sparta Rotterdam win | 26.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.03 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 66.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.7% |
| FC Groningen score first | 57.8% |
| Sparta Rotterdam score first | 38.3% |
| FC Groningen clean sheet | 24% |
| Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet | 13.5% |
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
3.0–0.8
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
1.8–1.6
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PSV
Willem II
3.9–0.9
xG
85%
Over 2.5
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2.2–1.4
xG
69%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
1.7–1.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Telstar
FC Utrecht
1.5–1.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Twente
1.0–2.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609693 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Groningen are favourites. They win 50.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 26.9% for Sparta Rotterdam. Including the draw, FC Groningen avoid defeat 73.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 2-2 (6.5%). The likeliest FC Groningen win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.4% of simulations. FC Groningen keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Sparta Rotterdam 13.5%.
The simulations average 3.48 goals: 2.03 for FC Groningen and 1.44 for Sparta Rotterdam. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.1% and over 3.5 goals 45.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.