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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard 100,000 times. Feyenoord won 79,077 of them (79.1%), the draw came up 13.4% of the time and Fortuna Sittard won 7.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.8%), and both teams score in 53.7% of simulations.
| Feyenoord win | 79.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.4% |
| Fortuna Sittard win | 7.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.95 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 53.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 52.1% |
| Feyenoord score first | 73.6% |
| Fortuna Sittard score first | 23.7% |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 43.5% |
| Fortuna Sittard clean sheet | 5.6% |
SC Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
1.8–1.6
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PSV
Willem II
3.9–0.9
xG
85%
Over 2.5
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2.2–1.4
xG
69%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
1.7–1.9
xG
68%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Telstar
FC Utrecht
1.5–1.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Twente
1.0–2.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609664 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Feyenoord are favourites. They win 79.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.4% for the draw and 7.5% for Fortuna Sittard. Including the draw, Feyenoord avoid defeat 92.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations. Feyenoord keep a clean sheet 43.5% of the time and Fortuna Sittard 5.6%.
The simulations average 3.79 goals: 2.95 for Feyenoord and 0.84 for Fortuna Sittard. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.4% and over 3.5 goals 52.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.