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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen 100,000 times. SC Heerenveen won 43,055 of them (43.1%), the draw came up 24% of the time and NEC Nijmegen won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest SC Heerenveen win is 2-1 (8.6%). Both teams score in 66.3% of simulations.
| SC Heerenveen win | 43.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| NEC Nijmegen win | 32.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.81 – 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 66.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.6% |
| SC Heerenveen score first | 53.1% |
| NEC Nijmegen score first | 42.6% |
| SC Heerenveen clean sheet | 21.3% |
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet | 16.8% |
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
3.0–0.8
xG
72%
Over 2.5
PSV
Willem II
3.9–0.9
xG
85%
Over 2.5
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2.2–1.4
xG
69%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
1.7–1.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Telstar
FC Utrecht
1.5–1.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Twente
1.0–2.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609668 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SC Heerenveen are favourites. They win 43.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 32.9% for NEC Nijmegen. Including the draw, SC Heerenveen avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest SC Heerenveen win is 2-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.3% of simulations. SC Heerenveen keep a clean sheet 21.3% of the time and NEC Nijmegen 16.8%.
The simulations average 3.38 goals: 1.81 for SC Heerenveen and 1.57 for NEC Nijmegen. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.2% and over 3.5 goals 43.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.