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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo 100,000 times. FC Tokyo won 50,901 of them (50.9%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Fagiano Okayama won 22.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest FC Tokyo win is 0-1 (11.9%). Both teams score in 49% of simulations.
| Fagiano Okayama win | 22.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| FC Tokyo win | 50.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.96 – 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.9% |
| Fagiano Okayama score first | 36.3% |
| FC Tokyo score first | 54.4% |
| Fagiano Okayama clean sheet | 21.2% |
| FC Tokyo clean sheet | 38.7% |
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.5–1.2
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Kashima Antlers
Cerezo Osaka
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
1.4–1.7
xG
60%
Over 2.5
V-Varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
JEF United
Avispa Fukuoka
1.2–1.2
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605895 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Tokyo are favourites. They win 50.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 22.5% for Fagiano Okayama. Including the draw, FC Tokyo avoid defeat 77.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.9%) and 0-2 (9.8%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win is 0-1 (11.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49% of simulations. Fagiano Okayama keep a clean sheet 21.2% of the time and FC Tokyo 38.7%.
The simulations average 2.53 goals: 0.96 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.57 for FC Tokyo. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.2% and over 3.5 goals 24.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.