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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale 100,000 times. Kawasaki Frontale won 43,009 of them (43%), the draw came up 25% of the time and Yokohama F. Marinos won 32%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations.
| Yokohama F. Marinos win | 32% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Kawasaki Frontale win | 43% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.5% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos score first | 46.8% |
| Kawasaki Frontale score first | 47.8% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet | 19.1% |
| Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet | 24.6% |
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.5–1.2
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
1.0–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Kashima Antlers
Cerezo Osaka
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
V-Varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
JEF United
Avispa Fukuoka
1.2–1.2
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605882 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kawasaki Frontale are favourites. They win 43% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 32% for Yokohama F. Marinos. Including the draw, Kawasaki Frontale avoid defeat 68.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations. Yokohama F. Marinos keep a clean sheet 19.1% of the time and Kawasaki Frontale 24.6%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.42 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.68 for Kawasaki Frontale. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.6% and over 3.5 goals 37.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.