OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close
  1. Simulations
  2. J1 League
  3. V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy
J1 League · 100,000 simulations

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy prediction

We simulated V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy 100,000 times. V-Varen Nagasaki won 41,652 of them (41.7%), the draw came up 29.6% of the time and Tokyo Verdy won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.9%, while the likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-0 (10.9%). Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations.

V-Varen Nagasaki badge
V-Varen Nagasaki transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki
Sunday 1 November
Tokyo Verdy badge
Tokyo Verdy Away
41.7% 41,652 wins
29.6% Draw
28.7% 28,706 wins
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.07
Likeliest score
1-1 13.9% Top V-Varen win: 1-0 10.9%
Both score
49.1%
Over 2.5
43.1%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki, Japan
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy lineups, team news & head to head

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy in numbers 100,000 simulations · J1 League · Sunday 1 November, 05:00

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy simulation probabilities
V-Varen Nagasaki win41.7%
Draw29.6%
Tokyo Verdy win28.7%
Most likely score1-1 (13.9%)
Expected goals1.34 – 1.07
Both teams to score49.1%
Over 1.5 goals70.2%
Over 2.5 goals43.1%
Over 3.5 goals22.4%
V-Varen Nagasaki score first48.6%
Tokyo Verdy score first41%
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet34.7%
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet26.6%

More J1 League simulations

Kyoto Sanga Shimizu S-Pulse 1.5–1.2 xG 51% Over 2.5 Mito Hollyhock Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0.9–2.0 xG 56% Over 2.5 Fagiano Okayama FC Tokyo 1.0–1.6 xG 46% Over 2.5 Vissel Kobe Nagoya Grampus 1.7–1.1 xG 53% Over 2.5 Kashima Antlers Cerezo Osaka 2.0–1.0 xG 58% Over 2.5 Kashiwa Reysol Urawa Reds 1.7–1.4 xG 60% Over 2.5 Yokohama F. Marinos Kawasaki Frontale 1.4–1.7 xG 60% Over 2.5 JEF United Avispa Fukuoka 1.2–1.2 xG 44% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605600
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy prediction FAQs

Who will win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?

V-Varen Nagasaki are favourites. They win 41.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.6% for the draw and 28.7% for Tokyo Verdy. Including the draw, V-Varen Nagasaki avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?

1-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.9%) and 0-0 (10.5%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?

Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations. V-Varen Nagasaki keep a clean sheet 34.7% of the time and Tokyo Verdy 26.6%.

How many goals will there be in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?

The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.34 for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.07 for Tokyo Verdy. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.1% and over 3.5 goals 22.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.