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  1. Simulations
  2. FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie · 100,000 simulations

FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo prediction

We simulated FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo 100,000 times. Heracles Almelo won 64,421 of them (64.4%), the draw came up 19.4% of the time and FC Dordrecht won 16.2%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.4%), and both teams score in 60% of simulations.

FC Dordrecht badge
FC Dordrecht Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion
Tomorrow
Heracles Almelo badge
Heracles Almelo Away
16.2% 16,223 wins
19.4% Draw
64.4% 64,421 wins
Expected goals
1.09 – 2.34
Likeliest score
1-2 9.4%
Both score
60%
Over 2.5
66.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Clay Ruperti Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion, Dordrecht

FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo in numbers 100,000 simulations · Eerste Divisie · Tomorrow, 19:00

FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo simulation probabilities
FC Dordrecht win16.2%
Draw19.4%
Heracles Almelo win64.4%
Most likely score1-2 (9.4%)
Expected goals1.09 – 2.34
Both teams to score60%
Over 1.5 goals85.7%
Over 2.5 goals66.3%
Over 3.5 goals44.8%
FC Dordrecht score first30.7%
Heracles Almelo score first65.4%
FC Dordrecht clean sheet10.1%
Heracles Almelo clean sheet33.8%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo?

Heracles Almelo are favourites. They win 64.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.4% for the draw and 16.2% for FC Dordrecht. Including the draw, Heracles Almelo avoid defeat 83.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo?

1-2, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo?

Both teams score in 60% of simulations. FC Dordrecht keep a clean sheet 10.1% of the time and Heracles Almelo 33.8%.

How many goals will there be in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo?

The simulations average 3.44 goals: 1.09 for FC Dordrecht and 2.34 for Heracles Almelo. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.3% and over 3.5 goals 44.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.