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Eerste Divisie · 100,000 simulations

FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht prediction

We simulated FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht 100,000 times. FC Emmen won 57,739 of them (57.7%), the draw came up 22% of the time and MVV Maastricht won 20.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest FC Emmen win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 57% of simulations.

FC Emmen badge
FC Emmen De Oude Meerdijk
0–2 Full time
MVV Maastricht badge
MVV Maastricht Away
57.7% 57,739 wins
22% Draw
20.3% 20,254 wins
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.09
Likeliest score
1-1 10.2% Top FC Emmen win: 2-1 9.7%
Both score
57%
Over 2.5
59.1%

Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had MVV Maastricht winning 20.3% and gave this exact score 2.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Joshua Kuipers De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen

FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht in numbers 100,000 simulations · Eerste Divisie · Sunday 8 November, 15:45

FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht simulation probabilities
FC Emmen win57.7%
Draw22%
MVV Maastricht win20.3%
Most likely score1-1 (10.2%)
Expected goals1.99 – 1.09
Both teams to score57%
Over 1.5 goals81.1%
Over 2.5 goals59.1%
Over 3.5 goals37%
FC Emmen score first60.3%
MVV Maastricht score first34.8%
FC Emmen clean sheet34%
MVV Maastricht clean sheet14.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420609309
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht?

FC Emmen are favourites. They win 57.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 20.3% for MVV Maastricht. Including the draw, FC Emmen avoid defeat 79.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht?

1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest FC Emmen win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht?

Both teams score in 57% of simulations. FC Emmen keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and MVV Maastricht 14.1%.

How many goals will there be in FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht?

The simulations average 3.08 goals: 1.99 for FC Emmen and 1.09 for MVV Maastricht. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.1% and over 3.5 goals 37%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.