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  1. Simulations
  2. Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Carabao Cup · 100,000 simulations

Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction

We simulated Fulham vs Crystal Palace 100,000 times. Fulham won 55,874 of them (55.9%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Crystal Palace won 20.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Fulham win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 57% of simulations.

Fulham badge
Fulham Craven Cottage
0–1 Full time
Crystal Palace badge
Crystal Palace Away
55.9% 55,874 wins
23.3% Draw
20.8% 20,794 wins
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.10
Likeliest score
1-1 10.9% Top Fulham win: 2-1 9.7%
Both score
57%
Over 2.5
57.9%

Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Crystal Palace winning 20.8% and gave this exact score 4.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Simon Hooper Craven Cottage, London

Fulham vs Crystal Palace in numbers 100,000 simulations · Carabao Cup · Wednesday 28 October, 19:45

Fulham vs Crystal Palace simulation probabilities
Fulham win55.9%
Draw23.3%
Crystal Palace win20.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.9%)
Expected goals1.93 – 1.10
Both teams to score57%
Over 1.5 goals80.7%
Over 2.5 goals57.9%
Over 3.5 goals35.8%
Fulham score first60%
Crystal Palace score first34.6%
Fulham clean sheet33.8%
Crystal Palace clean sheet15%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420720867
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction FAQs

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Fulham are favourites. They win 55.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 20.8% for Crystal Palace. Including the draw, Fulham avoid defeat 79.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Fulham win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams score in 57% of simulations. Fulham keep a clean sheet 33.8% of the time and Crystal Palace 15%.

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.93 for Fulham and 1.10 for Crystal Palace. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.