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  1. Simulations
  2. Germany U21 vs Belgium U21
Friendly International U21 · 100,000 simulations

Germany U21 vs Belgium U21 prediction

We simulated Germany U21 vs Belgium U21 100,000 times. Germany U21 won 55,379 of them (55.4%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Belgium U21 won 20.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Germany U21 win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 58% of simulations.

Germany U21 badge
Germany U21 Stadion Essen
0–1 Live
Belgium U21 badge
Belgium U21 Away
55.4% 55,379 wins
23.8% Draw
20.8% 20,786 wins
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.12
Likeliest score
1-1 11.1% Top Germany U21 win: 2-1 9.7%
Both score
58%
Over 2.5
58.7%

This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stadion Essen, Essen

Germany U21 vs Belgium U21 in numbers 100,000 simulations · Friendly International U21 · Today, 17:00

Germany U21 vs Belgium U21 simulation probabilities
Germany U21 win55.4%
Draw23.8%
Belgium U21 win20.8%
Most likely score1-1 (11.1%)
Expected goals1.94 – 1.12
Both teams to score58%
Over 1.5 goals81.5%
Over 2.5 goals58.7%
Over 3.5 goals36.6%
Germany U21 score first62%
Belgium U21 score first32.5%
Germany U21 clean sheet33.1%
Belgium U21 clean sheet14.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420743368
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Germany U21 vs Belgium U21 prediction FAQs

Who will win Germany U21 vs Belgium U21?

Germany U21 are favourites. They win 55.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 20.8% for Belgium U21. Including the draw, Germany U21 avoid defeat 79.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Germany U21 vs Belgium U21?

1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Germany U21 win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Germany U21 vs Belgium U21?

Both teams score in 58% of simulations. Germany U21 keep a clean sheet 33.1% of the time and Belgium U21 14.8%.

How many goals will there be in Germany U21 vs Belgium U21?

The simulations average 3.06 goals: 1.94 for Germany U21 and 1.12 for Belgium U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.7% and over 3.5 goals 36.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.