OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close
  1. Simulations
  2. Harrogate Town vs Bury
FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

Harrogate Town vs Bury prediction

We simulated Harrogate Town vs Bury 100,000 times. Harrogate Town won 52,217 of them (52.2%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and Bury won 25.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Harrogate Town win is 1-0 (9.6%). Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.

Harrogate Town badge
Harrogate Town CNG Stadium
3–1 Full time
Bury badge
Bury Away
52.2% 52,217 wins
21.9% Draw
25.9% 25,892 wins
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.20
Likeliest score
1-1 10.1% Top Harrogate Town win: 1-0 9.6%
Both score
57.2%
Over 2.5
57.6%

Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Harrogate Town winning 52.2% and gave this exact score 5.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Dean Watson CNG Stadium, Harrogate

Harrogate Town vs Bury in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Tuesday 20 October, 19:45

Harrogate Town vs Bury simulation probabilities
Harrogate Town win52.2%
Draw21.9%
Bury win25.9%
Most likely score1-1 (10.1%)
Expected goals1.81 – 1.20
Both teams to score57.2%
Over 1.5 goals79.3%
Over 2.5 goals57.6%
Over 3.5 goals35.4%
Harrogate Town score first60.4%
Bury score first34.9%
Harrogate Town clean sheet30.6%
Bury clean sheet16.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420737512
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Harrogate Town vs Bury prediction FAQs

Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?

Harrogate Town are favourites. They win 52.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 25.9% for Bury. Including the draw, Harrogate Town avoid defeat 74.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Harrogate Town vs Bury?

1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win is 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Harrogate Town vs Bury?

Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Harrogate Town keep a clean sheet 30.6% of the time and Bury 16.8%.

How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Bury?

The simulations average 3.01 goals: 1.81 for Harrogate Town and 1.20 for Bury. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.6% and over 3.5 goals 35.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.