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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Israel vs Austria 100,000 times. Austria won 56,100 of them (56.1%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Israel won 20.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Austria win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
| Israel win | 20.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| Austria win | 56.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.03 – 1.86 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.9% |
| Israel score first | 34% |
| Austria score first | 59.8% |
| Israel clean sheet | 16.1% |
| Austria clean sheet | 36.1% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.7–2.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.8–0.8
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.3–1.7
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.4–0.9
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.2–0.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725802 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Austria are favourites. They win 56.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 20.6% for Israel. Including the draw, Austria avoid defeat 79.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest Austria win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations. Israel keep a clean sheet 16.1% of the time and Austria 36.1%.
The simulations average 2.89 goals: 1.03 for Israel and 1.86 for Austria. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.9% and over 3.5 goals 32.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here FanDuel), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.