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  1. Simulations
  2. Livingston vs Greenock Morton
Championship · 100,000 simulations

Livingston vs Greenock Morton prediction

We simulated Livingston vs Greenock Morton 100,000 times. Livingston won 72,488 of them (72.5%), the draw came up 16.4% of the time and Greenock Morton won 11.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.8%), and both teams score in 48.8% of simulations.

Livingston badge
Livingston Tony Macaroni Arena
Tomorrow
Greenock Morton badge
Greenock Morton Away
72.5% 72,488 wins
16.4% Draw
11.1% 11,129 wins
Expected goals
2.37 – 0.79
Likeliest score
2-0 11.8%
Both score
48.8%
Over 2.5
60.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Grant Irvine Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

Livingston vs Greenock Morton in numbers 100,000 simulations · Championship · Tomorrow, 15:00

Livingston vs Greenock Morton simulation probabilities
Livingston win72.5%
Draw16.4%
Greenock Morton win11.1%
Most likely score2-0 (11.8%)
Expected goals2.37 – 0.79
Both teams to score48.8%
Over 1.5 goals81.7%
Over 2.5 goals60.9%
Over 3.5 goals38.9%
Livingston score first67.7%
Greenock Morton score first28%
Livingston clean sheet45.6%
Greenock Morton clean sheet9.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420600603
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Livingston vs Greenock Morton prediction FAQs

Who will win Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Livingston are favourites. They win 72.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.4% for the draw and 11.1% for Greenock Morton. Including the draw, Livingston avoid defeat 88.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

2-0, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.4%) and 3-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Both teams score in 48.8% of simulations. Livingston keep a clean sheet 45.6% of the time and Greenock Morton 9.7%.

How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

The simulations average 3.16 goals: 2.37 for Livingston and 0.79 for Greenock Morton. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.9% and over 3.5 goals 38.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.