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Championship Β· 100,000 simulations

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic prediction

We simulated Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic 100,000 times. Middlesbrough won 80,914 of them (80.9%), the draw came up 12.1% of the time and Charlton Athletic won 7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 51.3% of simulations.

Middlesbrough badge
Middlesbrough Riverside Stadium
3–0 Full time
Charlton Athletic badge
Charlton Athletic Away
80.9% 80,914 wins
12.1% Draw
7% 6,949 wins
Expected goals
2.99 – 0.78
Likeliest score
2-0 10.2%
Both score
51.3%
Over 2.5
72.1%

Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Middlesbrough winning 80.9% and gave this exact score 10.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Will Finnie Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic in numbers 100,000 simulations Β· Championship Β· Saturday 31 October, 15:00

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic simulation probabilities
Middlesbrough win80.9%
Draw12.1%
Charlton Athletic win7%
Most likely score2-0 (10.2%)
Expected goals2.99 – 0.78
Both teams to score51.3%
Over 1.5 goals88.7%
Over 2.5 goals72.1%
Over 3.5 goals51.8%
Middlesbrough score first77.5%
Charlton Athletic score first20.1%
Middlesbrough clean sheet45.9%
Charlton Athletic clean sheet5.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420644027
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic prediction FAQs

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

Middlesbrough are favourites. They win 80.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.1% for the draw and 7% for Charlton Athletic. Including the draw, Middlesbrough avoid defeat 93.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

Both teams score in 51.3% of simulations. Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet 45.9% of the time and Charlton Athletic 5.4%.

How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

The simulations average 3.77 goals: 2.99 for Middlesbrough and 0.78 for Charlton Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.1% and over 3.5 goals 51.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.