OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close
  1. Simulations
  2. Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town
FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town prediction

We simulated Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town 100,000 times. Milton Keynes Dons won 65,506 of them (65.5%), the draw came up 18.8% of the time and Swindon Town won 15.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.7%), and both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.

Milton Keynes Dons badge
Milton Keynes Dons Stadium mk
2–1 Full time
Swindon Town badge
Swindon Town Away
65.5% 65,506 wins
18.8% Draw
15.7% 15,727 wins
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.00
Likeliest score
2-0 9.7%
Both score
56.1%
Over 2.5
62.9%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Milton Keynes Dons winning 65.5% and gave this exact score 9.6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Aaron Jackson Stadium mk, Milton Keynes

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Saturday 7 November, 15:00

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town simulation probabilities
Milton Keynes Dons win65.5%
Draw18.8%
Swindon Town win15.7%
Most likely score2-0 (9.7%)
Expected goals2.26 – 1.00
Both teams to score56.1%
Over 1.5 goals83.2%
Over 2.5 goals62.9%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Milton Keynes Dons score first72.5%
Swindon Town score first23.7%
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet37%
Swindon Town clean sheet10.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739315
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town prediction FAQs

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Milton Keynes Dons are favourites. They win 65.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.8% for the draw and 15.7% for Swindon Town. Including the draw, Milton Keynes Dons avoid defeat 84.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

2-0, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Milton Keynes Dons keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Swindon Town 10.8%.

How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

The simulations average 3.26 goals: 2.26 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.00 for Swindon Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.