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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Moldova vs Slovakia 100,000 times. Slovakia won 65,757 of them (65.8%), the draw came up 21% of the time and Moldova won 13.3%. The most likely score is 0-1 (12.9%), and both teams score in 45% of simulations.
Full time 0-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Slovakia winning 65.8% and gave this exact score 4.2%.
| Moldova win | 13.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21% |
| Slovakia win | 65.8% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.74 – 1.97 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Moldova score first | 23.6% |
| Slovakia score first | 69.1% |
| Moldova clean sheet | 14.4% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 47.7% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.6–2.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.7–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.3–1.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420693619 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Slovakia are favourites. They win 65.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21% for the draw and 13.3% for Moldova. Including the draw, Slovakia avoid defeat 86.7% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-1 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45% of simulations. Moldova keep a clean sheet 14.4% of the time and Slovakia 47.7%.
The simulations average 2.71 goals: 0.74 for Moldova and 1.97 for Slovakia. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.8% and over 3.5 goals 29%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.