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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Montenegro vs Armenia 100,000 times. Montenegro won 66,055 of them (66.1%), the draw came up 19.6% of the time and Armenia won 14.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.1%), and both teams score in 51.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 19.6% and gave this exact score 5.2%.
| Montenegro win | 66.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.6% |
| Armenia win | 14.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.15 – 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Montenegro score first | 70.5% |
| Armenia score first | 24.4% |
| Montenegro clean sheet | 41.7% |
| Armenia clean sheet | 12.1% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.6–2.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.7–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.3–1.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420693419 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Montenegro are favourites. They win 66.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.6% for the draw and 14.3% for Armenia. Including the draw, Montenegro avoid defeat 85.7% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.4% of simulations. Montenegro keep a clean sheet 41.7% of the time and Armenia 12.1%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 2.15 for Montenegro and 0.88 for Armenia. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.1% and over 3.5 goals 36%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.