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  1. Simulations
  2. Necaxa vs Tijuana
Liga MX · 100,000 simulations

Necaxa vs Tijuana prediction

We simulated Necaxa vs Tijuana 100,000 times. Necaxa won 40,191 of them (40.2%), the draw came up 26.7% of the time and Tijuana won 33.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Necaxa win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 59.9% of simulations.

Necaxa badge
Necaxa Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
1–0 Full time
Tijuana badge
Tijuana Away
40.2% 40,191 wins
26.7% Draw
33.2% 33,158 wins
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.39
Likeliest score
1-1 12.4% Top Necaxa win: 2-1 8.7%
Both score
59.9%
Over 2.5
56.3%

Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Necaxa winning 40.2% and gave this exact score 7.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Adonai Escobedo González Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes

Necaxa vs Tijuana in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga MX · Saturday 7 November, 01:00

Necaxa vs Tijuana simulation probabilities
Necaxa win40.2%
Draw26.7%
Tijuana win33.2%
Most likely score1-1 (12.4%)
Expected goals1.55 – 1.39
Both teams to score59.9%
Over 1.5 goals80.1%
Over 2.5 goals56.3%
Over 3.5 goals34.2%
Necaxa score first52.4%
Tijuana score first41%
Necaxa clean sheet25.2%
Tijuana clean sheet21.5%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
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Necaxa vs Tijuana prediction FAQs

Who will win Necaxa vs Tijuana?

Necaxa are favourites. They win 40.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.7% for the draw and 33.2% for Tijuana. Including the draw, Necaxa avoid defeat 66.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Necaxa vs Tijuana?

1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Necaxa win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Tijuana?

Both teams score in 59.9% of simulations. Necaxa keep a clean sheet 25.2% of the time and Tijuana 21.5%.

How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Tijuana?

The simulations average 2.95 goals: 1.55 for Necaxa and 1.39 for Tijuana. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.