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  1. Simulations
  2. Premier League
  3. Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest
Premier League · 100,000 simulations

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest prediction

We simulated Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest 100,000 times. Newcastle United won 62,696 of them (62.7%), the draw came up 21% of the time and Nottingham Forest won 16.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.4%), and both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.

Newcastle United badge
Newcastle United Home
2–0 Full time
Nottingham Forest badge
Nottingham Forest Away
62.7% 62,696 wins
21% Draw
16.3% 16,274 wins
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.95
Likeliest score
2-0 10.4%
Both score
53.6%
Over 2.5
58.1%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Newcastle United winning 62.7% and gave this exact score 10.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Peter Bankes

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest in numbers 100,000 simulations · Premier League · Sunday 5 October, 14:00

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest simulation probabilities
Newcastle United win62.7%
Draw21%
Nottingham Forest win16.3%
Most likely score2-0 (10.4%)
Expected goals2.08 – 0.95
Both teams to score53.6%
Over 1.5 goals80.5%
Over 2.5 goals58.1%
Over 3.5 goals35.9%
Newcastle United score first68.2%
Nottingham Forest score first26.4%
Newcastle United clean sheet38.9%
Nottingham Forest clean sheet12.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/365992334
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest prediction FAQs

Who will win Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?

Newcastle United are favourites. They win 62.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21% for the draw and 16.3% for Nottingham Forest. Including the draw, Newcastle United avoid defeat 83.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?

2-0, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?

Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. Newcastle United keep a clean sheet 38.9% of the time and Nottingham Forest 12.9%.

How many goals will there be in Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?

The simulations average 3.03 goals: 2.08 for Newcastle United and 0.95 for Nottingham Forest. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.1% and over 3.5 goals 35.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.