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  1. Simulations
  2. Pau vs Nantes
Ligue 2 · 100,000 simulations

Pau vs Nantes prediction

We simulated Pau vs Nantes 100,000 times. Nantes won 38,719 of them (38.7%), the draw came up 28.4% of the time and Pau won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Nantes win is 0-1 (10.4%). Both teams score in 50.2% of simulations.

Pau badge
Pau Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
0–2 Full time
Nantes badge
Nantes Away
32.9% 32,873 wins
28.4% Draw
38.7% 38,719 wins
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.29
Likeliest score
1-1 13.4% Top Nantes win: 0-1 10.4%
Both score
50.2%
Over 2.5
44.5%

Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Nantes winning 38.7% and gave this exact score 7.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Antoine Valnet Stade Du Hameau Idron 1, Bizanos

Pau vs Nantes in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ligue 2 · Saturday 7 November, 19:00

Pau vs Nantes simulation probabilities
Pau win32.9%
Draw28.4%
Nantes win38.7%
Most likely score1-1 (13.4%)
Expected goals1.17 – 1.29
Both teams to score50.2%
Over 1.5 goals70.8%
Over 2.5 goals44.5%
Over 3.5 goals23.5%
Pau score first42.6%
Nantes score first47.9%
Pau clean sheet27.8%
Nantes clean sheet31.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420626341
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Pau vs Nantes prediction FAQs

Who will win Pau vs Nantes?

Nantes are favourites. They win 38.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.4% for the draw and 32.9% for Pau. Including the draw, Nantes avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Pau vs Nantes?

1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.4%) and 0-0 (9.4%). The likeliest Nantes win is 0-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Pau vs Nantes?

Both teams score in 50.2% of simulations. Pau keep a clean sheet 27.8% of the time and Nantes 31.4%.

How many goals will there be in Pau vs Nantes?

The simulations average 2.46 goals: 1.17 for Pau and 1.29 for Nantes. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.5% and over 3.5 goals 23.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.