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  1. Simulations
  2. Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United
FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United prediction

We simulated Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United 100,000 times. Port Vale won 61,694 of them (61.7%), the draw came up 21.4% of the time and Scunthorpe United won 16.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.6%), and both teams score in 52.1% of simulations.

Port Vale badge
Port Vale Vale Park
4–2 Full time
Scunthorpe United badge
Scunthorpe United Away
61.7% 61,694 wins
21.4% Draw
16.9% 16,897 wins
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.93
Likeliest score
2-0 10.6%
Both score
52.1%
Over 2.5
55.8%

Full time 4-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Port Vale winning 61.7% and gave this exact score 1.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated George Laflin Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Saturday 7 November, 15:00

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United simulation probabilities
Port Vale win61.7%
Draw21.4%
Scunthorpe United win16.9%
Most likely score2-0 (10.6%)
Expected goals2.00 – 0.93
Both teams to score52.1%
Over 1.5 goals78.8%
Over 2.5 goals55.8%
Over 3.5 goals33.7%
Port Vale score first65.3%
Scunthorpe United score first28.7%
Port Vale clean sheet39.7%
Scunthorpe United clean sheet14%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420739333
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United prediction FAQs

Who will win Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United?

Port Vale are favourites. They win 61.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.4% for the draw and 16.9% for Scunthorpe United. Including the draw, Port Vale avoid defeat 83.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United?

2-0, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 1-1 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United?

Both teams score in 52.1% of simulations. Port Vale keep a clean sheet 39.7% of the time and Scunthorpe United 14%.

How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United?

The simulations average 2.93 goals: 2.00 for Port Vale and 0.93 for Scunthorpe United. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.8% and over 3.5 goals 33.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.