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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Portugal vs Norway 100,000 times. Portugal won 53,020 of them (53%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Norway won 24%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Portugal win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Portugal winning 53% and gave this exact score 9.2%.
| Portugal win | 53% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Norway win | 24% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.10 – 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 65.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.6% |
| Portugal score first | 56.1% |
| Norway score first | 39.8% |
| Portugal clean sheet | 25.7% |
| Norway clean sheet | 12.7% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.6–2.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.7–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.3–1.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420688874 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portugal are favourites. They win 53% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 24% for Norway. Including the draw, Portugal avoid defeat 76% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Portugal win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations. Portugal keep a clean sheet 25.7% of the time and Norway 12.7%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 2.10 for Portugal and 1.37 for Norway. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67% and over 3.5 goals 45.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.