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We simulated Querétaro vs Monterrey 100,000 times. Monterrey won 44,072 of them (44.1%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Querétaro won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Monterrey win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 60.6% of simulations.
| Querétaro win | 30.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Monterrey win | 44.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 60.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.1% |
| Querétaro score first | 40.5% |
| Monterrey score first | 53.7% |
| Querétaro clean sheet | 19.2% |
| Monterrey clean sheet | 26% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420578871 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Monterrey are favourites. They win 44.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 30.6% for Querétaro. Including the draw, Monterrey avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Monterrey win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.6% of simulations. Querétaro keep a clean sheet 19.2% of the time and Monterrey 26%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.36 for Querétaro and 1.67 for Monterrey. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.2% and over 3.5 goals 36.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.