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Liga MX · 100,000 simulations

Querétaro vs Monterrey prediction

We simulated Querétaro vs Monterrey 100,000 times. Monterrey won 44,072 of them (44.1%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Querétaro won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Monterrey win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 60.6% of simulations.

Querétaro badge
Querétaro Estadio La Corregidora
Tomorrow
Monterrey badge
Monterrey Away
30.6% 30,642 wins
25.3% Draw
44.1% 44,072 wins
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.67
Likeliest score
1-1 11.6% Top Monterrey win: 1-2 9%
Both score
60.6%
Over 2.5
58.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago de Querétaro

Querétaro vs Monterrey in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga MX · Tomorrow, 23:00

Querétaro vs Monterrey simulation probabilities
Querétaro win30.6%
Draw25.3%
Monterrey win44.1%
Most likely score1-1 (11.6%)
Expected goals1.36 – 1.67
Both teams to score60.6%
Over 1.5 goals81.1%
Over 2.5 goals58.2%
Over 3.5 goals36.1%
Querétaro score first40.5%
Monterrey score first53.7%
Querétaro clean sheet19.2%
Monterrey clean sheet26%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420578871
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Querétaro vs Monterrey prediction FAQs

Who will win Querétaro vs Monterrey?

Monterrey are favourites. They win 44.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 30.6% for Querétaro. Including the draw, Monterrey avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Querétaro vs Monterrey?

1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Monterrey win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Querétaro vs Monterrey?

Both teams score in 60.6% of simulations. Querétaro keep a clean sheet 19.2% of the time and Monterrey 26%.

How many goals will there be in Querétaro vs Monterrey?

The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.36 for Querétaro and 1.67 for Monterrey. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.2% and over 3.5 goals 36.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.