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  1. Simulations
  2. Real Valladolid vs Castellón
La Liga 2 · 100,000 simulations

Real Valladolid vs Castellón prediction

We simulated Real Valladolid vs Castellón 100,000 times. Castellón won 40,599 of them (40.6%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Real Valladolid won 34.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Castellón win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations.

Real Valladolid badge
Real Valladolid Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Tomorrow
Castellón badge
Castellón Away
34.5% 34,541 wins
24.9% Draw
40.6% 40,599 wins
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.58
Likeliest score
1-1 11.4% Top Castellón win: 1-2 8.6%
Both score
60.5%
Over 2.5
58%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid

Real Valladolid vs Castellón in numbers 100,000 simulations · La Liga 2 · Tomorrow, 13:00

Real Valladolid vs Castellón simulation probabilities
Real Valladolid win34.5%
Draw24.9%
Castellón win40.6%
Most likely score1-1 (11.4%)
Expected goals1.44 – 1.58
Both teams to score60.5%
Over 1.5 goals80.5%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35.8%
Real Valladolid score first47%
Castellón score first47.2%
Real Valladolid clean sheet20.9%
Castellón clean sheet24%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Real Valladolid vs Castellón prediction FAQs

Who will win Real Valladolid vs Castellón?

Castellón are favourites. They win 40.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 34.5% for Real Valladolid. Including the draw, Castellón avoid defeat 65.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Real Valladolid vs Castellón?

1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Castellón win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Real Valladolid vs Castellón?

Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations. Real Valladolid keep a clean sheet 20.9% of the time and Castellón 24%.

How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid vs Castellón?

The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.44 for Real Valladolid and 1.58 for Castellón. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.