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  1. Simulations
  2. Rochdale vs Liverpool U21
EFL Trophy · 100,000 simulations

Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 prediction

We simulated Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 100,000 times. Rochdale won 39,271 of them (39.3%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Liverpool U21 won 35.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Rochdale win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 64.9% of simulations.

Rochdale badge
Rochdale Crown Oil Arena
3–3 Full time
Liverpool U21 badge
Liverpool U21 Away
39.3% 39,271 wins
25.6% Draw
35.1% 35,139 wins
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.57
Likeliest score
1-1 11.4% Top Rochdale win: 2-1 8.4%
Both score
64.9%
Over 2.5
62.6%

Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated G. Thomas Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale

Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL Trophy · Tuesday 22 September, 19:00

Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 simulation probabilities
Rochdale win39.3%
Draw25.6%
Liverpool U21 win35.1%
Most likely score1-1 (11.4%)
Expected goals1.67 – 1.57
Both teams to score64.9%
Over 1.5 goals84.3%
Over 2.5 goals62.6%
Over 3.5 goals40.7%
Rochdale score first48.1%
Liverpool U21 score first46.7%
Rochdale clean sheet21.2%
Liverpool U21 clean sheet19.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420657195
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 prediction FAQs

Who will win Rochdale vs Liverpool U21?

Rochdale are favourites. They win 39.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 35.1% for Liverpool U21. Including the draw, Rochdale avoid defeat 64.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Rochdale vs Liverpool U21?

1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Rochdale win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Rochdale vs Liverpool U21?

Both teams score in 64.9% of simulations. Rochdale keep a clean sheet 21.2% of the time and Liverpool U21 19.2%.

How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Liverpool U21?

The simulations average 3.24 goals: 1.67 for Rochdale and 1.57 for Liverpool U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.6% and over 3.5 goals 40.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.