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CONCACAF Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Saint Martin vs El Salvador prediction

We simulated Saint Martin vs El Salvador 100,000 times. El Salvador won 68,433 of them (68.4%), the draw came up 17.9% of the time and Saint Martin won 13.7%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10%), and both teams score in 55.6% of simulations.

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El Salvador Away
13.7% 13,689 wins
17.9% Draw
68.4% 68,433 wins
Expected goals
0.96 – 2.38
Likeliest score
0-2 10%
Both score
55.6%
Over 2.5
64.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Katia Itzel García

Saint Martin vs El Salvador in numbers 100,000 simulations · CONCACAF Nations League · Today, 23:00

Saint Martin vs El Salvador simulation probabilities
Saint Martin win13.7%
Draw17.9%
El Salvador win68.4%
Most likely score0-2 (10%)
Expected goals0.96 – 2.38
Both teams to score55.6%
Over 1.5 goals84.3%
Over 2.5 goals64.5%
Over 3.5 goals42.8%
Saint Martin score first23.7%
El Salvador score first72.7%
Saint Martin clean sheet9.6%
El Salvador clean sheet38.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420733371
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Saint Martin vs El Salvador prediction FAQs

Who will win Saint Martin vs El Salvador?

El Salvador are favourites. They win 68.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.9% for the draw and 13.7% for Saint Martin. Including the draw, El Salvador avoid defeat 86.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Saint Martin vs El Salvador?

0-2, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Saint Martin vs El Salvador?

Both teams score in 55.6% of simulations. Saint Martin keep a clean sheet 9.6% of the time and El Salvador 38.5%.

How many goals will there be in Saint Martin vs El Salvador?

The simulations average 3.34 goals: 0.96 for Saint Martin and 2.38 for El Salvador. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.5% and over 3.5 goals 42.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.