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  1. Simulations
  2. Standard Liège vs Dender
Belgian Cup · 100,000 simulations

Standard Liège vs Dender prediction

We simulated Standard Liège vs Dender 100,000 times. Standard Liège won 70,638 of them (70.6%), the draw came up 17.6% of the time and Dender won 11.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13%), and both teams score in 44.4% of simulations.

Standard Liège badge
Standard Liège Stade Maurice Dufrasne
2–0 Full time
Dender badge
Dender Away
70.6% 70,638 wins
17.6% Draw
11.7% 11,721 wins
Expected goals
2.16 – 0.72
Likeliest score
2-0 13%
Both score
44.4%
Over 2.5
54.5%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Standard Liège winning 70.6% and gave this exact score 13%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Anthony Letellier Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege

Standard Liège vs Dender in numbers 100,000 simulations · Belgian Cup · Friday 16 October, 20:00

Standard Liège vs Dender simulation probabilities
Standard Liège win70.6%
Draw17.6%
Dender win11.7%
Most likely score2-0 (13%)
Expected goals2.16 – 0.72
Both teams to score44.4%
Over 1.5 goals77.2%
Over 2.5 goals54.5%
Over 3.5 goals32.4%
Standard Liège score first68.6%
Dender score first25.9%
Standard Liège clean sheet49.1%
Dender clean sheet12%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728240
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Standard Liège vs Dender prediction FAQs

Who will win Standard Liège vs Dender?

Standard Liège are favourites. They win 70.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.6% for the draw and 11.7% for Dender. Including the draw, Standard Liège avoid defeat 88.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Standard Liège vs Dender?

2-0, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.7%) and 3-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Standard Liège vs Dender?

Both teams score in 44.4% of simulations. Standard Liège keep a clean sheet 49.1% of the time and Dender 12%.

How many goals will there be in Standard Liège vs Dender?

The simulations average 2.87 goals: 2.16 for Standard Liège and 0.72 for Dender. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.5% and over 3.5 goals 32.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.