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  1. Simulations
  2. Tondela vs Farense
Liga Portugal 2 · 100,000 simulations

Tondela vs Farense prediction

We simulated Tondela vs Farense 100,000 times. Tondela won 46,398 of them (46.4%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Farense won 26%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Tondela win is 1-0 (10.8%). Both teams score in 51% of simulations.

Tondela badge
Tondela Estádio João Cardoso
Sunday 15 November
Farense badge
Farense Away
46.4% 46,398 wins
27.6% Draw
26% 26,010 wins
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.06
Likeliest score
1-1 13% Top Tondela win: 1-0 10.8%
Both score
51%
Over 2.5
46.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Vitor Miguel Oliveira Lopes Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela

Tondela vs Farense in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga Portugal 2 · Sunday 15 November, 11:00

Tondela vs Farense simulation probabilities
Tondela win46.4%
Draw27.6%
Farense win26%
Most likely score1-1 (13%)
Expected goals1.50 – 1.06
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals72.8%
Over 2.5 goals46.8%
Over 3.5 goals25.4%
Tondela score first55.2%
Farense score first36.1%
Tondela clean sheet35.1%
Farense clean sheet22.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420615633
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Tondela vs Farense prediction FAQs

Who will win Tondela vs Farense?

Tondela are favourites. They win 46.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 26% for Farense. Including the draw, Tondela avoid defeat 74% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Tondela vs Farense?

1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Tondela win is 1-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Tondela vs Farense?

Both teams score in 51% of simulations. Tondela keep a clean sheet 35.1% of the time and Farense 22.8%.

How many goals will there be in Tondela vs Farense?

The simulations average 2.55 goals: 1.50 for Tondela and 1.06 for Farense. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.8% and over 3.5 goals 25.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.