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Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tunisia vs Libya 100,000 times. Tunisia won 70,746 of them (70.8%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Libya won 8.5%. The most likely score is 1-0 (16.7%), and both teams score in 33.7% of simulations.
| Tunisia win | 70.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Libya win | 8.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (16.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 0.50 |
| Both teams to score | 33.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% |
| Tunisia score first | 74.2% |
| Libya score first | 16.3% |
| Tunisia clean sheet | 60.7% |
| Libya clean sheet | 15.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728708 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tunisia are favourites. They win 70.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 8.5% for Libya. Including the draw, Tunisia avoid defeat 91.5% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 16.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (16.1%) and 3-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 33.7% of simulations. Tunisia keep a clean sheet 60.7% of the time and Libya 15.1%.
The simulations average 2.42 goals: 1.92 for Tunisia and 0.50 for Libya. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.4% and over 3.5 goals 22.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.