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  1. Simulations
  2. Van vs Ararat
Premier League · 100,000 simulations

Van vs Ararat prediction

We simulated Van vs Ararat 100,000 times. Van won 37,081 of them (37.1%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Ararat won 37%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Van win is 1-0 (8.5%). Both teams score in 55.8% of simulations.

Van badge
Van Charentsavan City Stadium (Charentsavan)
2–1 Full time
Ararat badge
Ararat Away
37.1% 37,081 wins
25.9% Draw
37% 36,995 wins
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.38
Likeliest score
1-1 12.2% Top Van win: 1-0 8.5%
Both score
55.8%
Over 2.5
52%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Van winning 37.1% and gave this exact score 8.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Zaven Hovhannisyan Charentsavan City Stadium (Charentsavan)

Van vs Ararat in numbers 100,000 simulations · Premier League · Friday 23 October, 12:30

Van vs Ararat simulation probabilities
Van win37.1%
Draw25.9%
Ararat win37%
Most likely score1-1 (12.2%)
Expected goals1.38 – 1.38
Both teams to score55.8%
Over 1.5 goals76.2%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Van score first43.9%
Ararat score first49%
Van clean sheet25.5%
Ararat clean sheet25.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420594300
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Van vs Ararat prediction FAQs

Who will win Van vs Ararat?

Van are favourites. They win 37.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 37% for Ararat. Including the draw, Van avoid defeat 63% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Van vs Ararat?

1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.5%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Van win is 1-0 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Van vs Ararat?

Both teams score in 55.8% of simulations. Van keep a clean sheet 25.5% of the time and Ararat 25.5%.

How many goals will there be in Van vs Ararat?

The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.38 for Van and 1.38 for Ararat. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52% and over 3.5 goals 30%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.