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  1. Simulations
  2. J1 League
  3. FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol
J1 League · 100,000 simulations

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction

We simulated FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol 100,000 times. FC Tokyo won 52,948 of them (53%), the draw came up 24% of the time and Kashiwa Reysol won 23.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest FC Tokyo win is 1-0 (9.6%). Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations.

FC Tokyo badge
FC Tokyo Ajinomoto Stadium
0–0 Full time
Kashiwa Reysol badge
Kashiwa Reysol Away
53% 52,948 wins
24% Draw
23.1% 23,069 wins
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.10
Likeliest score
1-1 11.2% Top FC Tokyo win: 1-0 9.6%
Both score
55.5%
Over 2.5
54.9%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24% and gave this exact score 6.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Koki Nagamine Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol in numbers 100,000 simulations · J1 League · Wednesday 21 October, 11:00

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol simulation probabilities
FC Tokyo win53%
Draw24%
Kashiwa Reysol win23.1%
Most likely score1-1 (11.2%)
Expected goals1.79 – 1.10
Both teams to score55.5%
Over 1.5 goals78.4%
Over 2.5 goals54.9%
Over 3.5 goals32.8%
FC Tokyo score first58.7%
Kashiwa Reysol score first35.3%
FC Tokyo clean sheet33.6%
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet17.1%

More J1 League simulations

Vissel Kobe Mito Hollyhock 2.2–0.8 xG 57% Over 2.5 Kashima Antlers Shimizu S-Pulse 2.1–0.8 xG 55% Over 2.5 Kashiwa Reysol JEF United 2.0–1.0 xG 59% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420605688
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

FC Tokyo are favourites. They win 53% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 23.1% for Kashiwa Reysol. Including the draw, FC Tokyo avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win is 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations. FC Tokyo keep a clean sheet 33.6% of the time and Kashiwa Reysol 17.1%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The simulations average 2.89 goals: 1.79 for FC Tokyo and 1.10 for Kashiwa Reysol. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.9% and over 3.5 goals 32.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.