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  1. Simulations
  2. Mali vs Rwanda
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Mali vs Rwanda prediction

We simulated Mali vs Rwanda 100,000 times. Mali won 70,559 of them (70.6%), the draw came up 19.5% of the time and Rwanda won 9.9%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.4%), and both teams score in 33.7% of simulations.

Mali badge
Mali Stade 26 Mars
Tomorrow
Rwanda badge
Rwanda Away
70.6% 70,559 wins
19.5% Draw
9.9% 9,943 wins
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.52
Likeliest score
1-0 17.4%
Both score
33.7%
Over 2.5
43.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Messie Nkounkou Stade 26 Mars, Bamako

Mali vs Rwanda in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Tomorrow, 19:00

Mali vs Rwanda simulation probabilities
Mali win70.6%
Draw19.5%
Rwanda win9.9%
Most likely score1-0 (17.4%)
Expected goals1.89 – 0.52
Both teams to score33.7%
Over 1.5 goals68.5%
Over 2.5 goals43.2%
Over 3.5 goals22.5%
Mali score first70.5%
Rwanda score first20.9%
Mali clean sheet59.6%
Rwanda clean sheet15.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728688
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Mali vs Rwanda prediction FAQs

Who will win Mali vs Rwanda?

Mali are favourites. They win 70.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.5% for the draw and 9.9% for Rwanda. Including the draw, Mali avoid defeat 90.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Mali vs Rwanda?

1-0, which came up in 17.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Mali vs Rwanda?

Both teams score in 33.7% of simulations. Mali keep a clean sheet 59.6% of the time and Rwanda 15.5%.

How many goals will there be in Mali vs Rwanda?

The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.89 for Mali and 0.52 for Rwanda. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.2% and over 3.5 goals 22.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.