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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons 100,000 times. Milton Keynes Dons won 37,158 of them (37.2%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and AFC Wimbledon won 35.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Milton Keynes Dons win is 0-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 27.6% and gave this exact score 8.4%.
| AFC Wimbledon win | 35.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 37.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.8% |
| AFC Wimbledon score first | 46.3% |
| Milton Keynes Dons score first | 45.3% |
| AFC Wimbledon clean sheet | 27.5% |
| Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet | 28.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646983 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Milton Keynes Dons are favourites. They win 37.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 35.2% for AFC Wimbledon. Including the draw, Milton Keynes Dons avoid defeat 64.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Milton Keynes Dons win is 0-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations. AFC Wimbledon keep a clean sheet 27.5% of the time and Milton Keynes Dons 28.6%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.26 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.30 for Milton Keynes Dons. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.2% and over 3.5 goals 25.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
