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We simulated Almere City vs Helmond Sport 100,000 times. Almere City won 71,313 of them (71.3%), the draw came up 15.9% of the time and Helmond Sport won 12.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.9%), and both teams score in 60.3% of simulations.
| Almere City win | 71.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.9% |
| Helmond Sport win | 12.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.68 – 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.1% |
| Almere City score first | 69.1% |
| Helmond Sport score first | 28.2% |
| Almere City clean sheet | 35.1% |
| Helmond Sport clean sheet | 7.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609588 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Almere City are favourites. They win 71.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.9% for the draw and 12.8% for Helmond Sport. Including the draw, Almere City avoid defeat 87.2% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations. Almere City keep a clean sheet 35.1% of the time and Helmond Sport 7.2%.
The simulations average 3.74 goals: 2.68 for Almere City and 1.06 for Helmond Sport. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.6% and over 3.5 goals 51.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.