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Eerste Divisie · 100,000 simulations

Almere City vs Helmond Sport prediction

We simulated Almere City vs Helmond Sport 100,000 times. Almere City won 71,313 of them (71.3%), the draw came up 15.9% of the time and Helmond Sport won 12.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.9%), and both teams score in 60.3% of simulations.

Almere City badge
Almere City Yanmar Stadion
Today
Helmond Sport badge
Helmond Sport Away
71.3% 71,313 wins
15.9% Draw
12.8% 12,757 wins
Expected goals
2.68 – 1.06
Likeliest score
2-1 8.9%
Both score
60.3%
Over 2.5
71.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Joshua Kuipers Yanmar Stadion, Almere

Almere City vs Helmond Sport in numbers 100,000 simulations · Eerste Divisie · Today, 19:00

Almere City vs Helmond Sport simulation probabilities
Almere City win71.3%
Draw15.9%
Helmond Sport win12.8%
Most likely score2-1 (8.9%)
Expected goals2.68 – 1.06
Both teams to score60.3%
Over 1.5 goals88.4%
Over 2.5 goals71.6%
Over 3.5 goals51.1%
Almere City score first69.1%
Helmond Sport score first28.2%
Almere City clean sheet35.1%
Helmond Sport clean sheet7.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420609588
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Almere City vs Helmond Sport prediction FAQs

Who will win Almere City vs Helmond Sport?

Almere City are favourites. They win 71.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.9% for the draw and 12.8% for Helmond Sport. Including the draw, Almere City avoid defeat 87.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Almere City vs Helmond Sport?

2-1, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Almere City vs Helmond Sport?

Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations. Almere City keep a clean sheet 35.1% of the time and Helmond Sport 7.2%.

How many goals will there be in Almere City vs Helmond Sport?

The simulations average 3.74 goals: 2.68 for Almere City and 1.06 for Helmond Sport. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.6% and over 3.5 goals 51.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.