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  1. Simulations
  2. Argentina vs Uruguay
Friendly International · 100,000 simulations

Argentina vs Uruguay prediction

We simulated Argentina vs Uruguay 100,000 times. Argentina won 61,834 of them (61.8%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Uruguay won 15.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.8%), and both teams score in 46.1% of simulations.

Argentina badge
Argentina Estadio Alberto José Armando
Today
Uruguay badge
Uruguay Away
61.8% 61,834 wins
22.9% Draw
15.3% 15,304 wins
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.79
Likeliest score
1-0 12.8%
Both score
46.1%
Over 2.5
49.1%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estadio Alberto José Armando, Buenos Aires

Argentina vs Uruguay in numbers 100,000 simulations · Friendly International · Today, 23:00

Argentina vs Uruguay simulation probabilities
Argentina win61.8%
Draw22.9%
Uruguay win15.3%
Most likely score1-0 (12.8%)
Expected goals1.85 – 0.79
Both teams to score46.1%
Over 1.5 goals74.1%
Over 2.5 goals49.1%
Over 3.5 goals27.5%
Argentina score first65.5%
Uruguay score first26.6%
Argentina clean sheet45.5%
Uruguay clean sheet16.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420737901
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Argentina vs Uruguay prediction FAQs

Who will win Argentina vs Uruguay?

Argentina are favourites. They win 61.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 15.3% for Uruguay. Including the draw, Argentina avoid defeat 84.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Argentina vs Uruguay?

1-0, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.1%) and 1-1 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Argentina vs Uruguay?

Both teams score in 46.1% of simulations. Argentina keep a clean sheet 45.5% of the time and Uruguay 16.1%.

How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Uruguay?

The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.85 for Argentina and 0.79 for Uruguay. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.1% and over 3.5 goals 27.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.