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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Aruba vs Martinique 100,000 times. Martinique won 68,577 of them (68.6%), the draw came up 17.7% of the time and Aruba won 13.7%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.6%), and both teams score in 53.1% of simulations.
| Aruba win | 13.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.7% |
| Martinique win | 68.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.91 – 2.31 |
| Both teams to score | 53.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.1% |
| Aruba score first | 30.1% |
| Martinique score first | 65.7% |
| Aruba clean sheet | 10.4% |
| Martinique clean sheet | 40.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733347 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Martinique are favourites. They win 68.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.7% for the draw and 13.7% for Aruba. Including the draw, Martinique avoid defeat 86.3% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.1% of simulations. Aruba keep a clean sheet 10.4% of the time and Martinique 40.6%.
The simulations average 3.22 goals: 0.91 for Aruba and 2.31 for Martinique. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62% and over 3.5 goals 40.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.