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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ayr United vs Raith Rovers 100,000 times. Raith Rovers won 46,513 of them (46.5%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Ayr United won 25.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Raith Rovers win is 0-1 (12.8%). Both teams score in 46.5% of simulations.
| Ayr United win | 25.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Raith Rovers win | 46.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 0.96 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 46.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.4% |
| Ayr United score first | 32.2% |
| Raith Rovers score first | 57.7% |
| Ayr United clean sheet | 25.1% |
| Raith Rovers clean sheet | 38.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420600621 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Raith Rovers are favourites. They win 46.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 25.5% for Ayr United. Including the draw, Raith Rovers avoid defeat 74.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (12.8%) and 0-0 (10.2%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win is 0-1 (12.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.5% of simulations. Ayr United keep a clean sheet 25.1% of the time and Raith Rovers 38.6%.
The simulations average 2.36 goals: 0.96 for Ayr United and 1.40 for Raith Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.9% and over 3.5 goals 21.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.