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FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United prediction

We simulated Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United 100,000 times. Cambridge United won 42,822 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Bristol Rovers won 29.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.

Bristol Rovers badge
Bristol Rovers Memorial Stadium
2–0 Full time
Cambridge United badge
Cambridge United Away
29.2% 29,230 wins
28% Draw
42.8% 42,822 wins
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.47
Likeliest score
1-1 13.2% Top Cambridge win: 0-1 9.5%
Both score
53.6%
Over 2.5
48.9%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Bristol Rovers winning 29.2% and gave this exact score 4.9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jamie O'Connor Memorial Stadium, Bristol

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Friday 6 November, 19:30

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United simulation probabilities
Bristol Rovers win29.2%
Draw28%
Cambridge United win42.8%
Most likely score1-1 (13.2%)
Expected goals1.17 – 1.47
Both teams to score53.6%
Over 1.5 goals74.7%
Over 2.5 goals48.9%
Over 3.5 goals27.3%
Bristol Rovers score first41.3%
Cambridge United score first50.5%
Bristol Rovers clean sheet23.5%
Cambridge United clean sheet31.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420739325
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United prediction FAQs

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

Cambridge United are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 29.2% for Bristol Rovers. Including the draw, Cambridge United avoid defeat 70.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.5%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. Bristol Rovers keep a clean sheet 23.5% of the time and Cambridge United 31.4%.

How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.17 for Bristol Rovers and 1.47 for Cambridge United. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.9% and over 3.5 goals 27.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.