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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Colombia vs Chile 100,000 times. Colombia won 67,648 of them (67.7%), the draw came up 20% of the time and Chile won 12.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.9%), and both teams score in 45% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Colombia winning 67.7% and gave this exact score 12.7%.
| Colombia win | 67.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20% |
| Chile win | 12.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.05 – 0.73 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.4% |
| Colombia score first | 70.3% |
| Chile score first | 23.5% |
| Colombia clean sheet | 48.2% |
| Chile clean sheet | 13.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420721047 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Colombia are favourites. They win 67.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20% for the draw and 12.4% for Chile. Including the draw, Colombia avoid defeat 87.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.7%) and 1-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45% of simulations. Colombia keep a clean sheet 48.2% of the time and Chile 13.3%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 2.05 for Colombia and 0.73 for Chile. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.4% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.