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  1. Simulations
  2. Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

We simulated Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon 100,000 times. Crewe Alexandra won 42,759 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and AFC Wimbledon won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 (9.2%). Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations.

Crewe Alexandra badge
Crewe Alexandra Alexandra Stadium
2–1 Full time
AFC Wimbledon badge
AFC Wimbledon Away
42.8% 42,759 wins
28.6% Draw
28.7% 28,670 wins
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.17
Likeliest score
1-1 13.5% Top Crewe win: 1-0 9.2%
Both score
53.9%
Over 2.5
48.9%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Crewe Alexandra winning 42.8% and gave this exact score 8.9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Matt Donohue Alexandra Stadium, England

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Saturday 7 November, 15:00

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon simulation probabilities
Crewe Alexandra win42.8%
Draw28.6%
AFC Wimbledon win28.7%
Most likely score1-1 (13.5%)
Expected goals1.47 – 1.17
Both teams to score53.9%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals48.9%
Over 3.5 goals27.3%
Crewe Alexandra score first51.9%
AFC Wimbledon score first39.5%
Crewe Alexandra clean sheet31.6%
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet23.4%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon prediction FAQs

Who will win Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

Crewe Alexandra are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 28.7% for AFC Wimbledon. Including the draw, Crewe Alexandra avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations. Crewe Alexandra keep a clean sheet 31.6% of the time and AFC Wimbledon 23.4%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.47 for Crewe Alexandra and 1.17 for AFC Wimbledon. Over 1.5 goals lands 75% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.9% and over 3.5 goals 27.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.